06 Jan

2024 NBA picks, Jan. 5 predictions from proven computer model

The Washington Wizards (6-27) will have revenge on their mind when they face the Cleveland Cavaliers (19-15) on Friday night. Cleveland dominated Washington on Wednesday, cruising to a 140-101 blowout win. The Cavaliers are in seventh place in the Eastern Conference and are in third place in the Central Division standings. Washington is sitting only ahead of Detroit at the bottom of the conference.

Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. The Cavs are favored by 10 points in the latest Wizards vs. Cavaliers odds, while the over/under is 239 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Cavaliers vs. Wizards picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 106-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $4,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Washington vs. Cleveland. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Cavs vs. Wizards:

Cavaliers vs. Wizards spread: Cavaliers -10
Cavaliers vs. Wizards over/under: 239 points
Cavaliers vs. Wizards money line: Cavaliers: -490, Wizards: +368
Cavaliers vs. Wizards picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Cavaliers can cover
Cleveland posted season-highs in multiple categories on Wednesday night, including points (140), 3-point percentage (47.6) and rebounds (62). The Cavaliers matched their season-best in offensive rebounds (18) while equaling their largest ever margin of victory over Washington. Max Strus knocked down six 3-pointers, while Donovan Mitchell added four.

Strus was the game’s leading scorer with 24 points, shooting 6 of 8 from beyond the arc, while Sam Merrill, Georges Niang and Caris LeVert each added three triples. The Cavaliers have covered the spread in six of their last nine games, and they have covered in four of their last five home games against Washington. The Wizards have lost eight of their last nine road games and have only covered twice in their last six games overall. See which team to pick here.

Why the Wizards can cover
Cleveland has struggled to build on its best performances this season, following up double-digit wins with losses on three occasions. The Cavaliers lost to Portland at home two days after their previously most lopsided victory of the season, which came in a 128-105 final against Atlanta. Washington has done a quality job of bouncing back from blowout losses, with its most recent win coming two days after a 30-point loss to Toronto.

In fact, all six of the Wizards’ wins have come after a double-digit loss, including their 110-104 win over Brooklyn last Friday. Kyle Kuzma scored a game-high 26 points, while Deni Avdija added 21 points, 13 rebounds and six assists. Kuzma finished 7 of 12 from the floor and scored a team-best 16 points in the loss to Cleveland on Wednesday. The Wizards also get to face an undermanned Cavs team missing Darius Garland (jaw) and Evan Mobley (knee). See which team to pick here.

How to make Cavaliers vs. Wizards picks
The model has simulated Wizards vs. Cavs 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

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