14 Jan

2024 NBA picks, Jan. 12 best bets by proven model

The Philadelphia 76ers aim to stop a losing skid on Friday evening at home. Philadelphia welcomes the Sacramento Kings to the Wells Fargo Center for a cross-conference battle. The 76ers have lost three straight games, falling to 23-13 overall, though Philadelphia is 13-6 at home. Sacramento is 23-14 overall and 10-7 on the road this season. Joel Embiid (knee) and Robert Covington (knee) are out for Philadelphia, with Kevin Huerter (ankle) listed as questionable for Sacramento.

For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the 76ers as 1-point favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 241 in the latest Kings vs. 76ers odds. Before making any 76ers vs. Kings picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 12 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 112-62 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $4,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Sixers vs. Kings and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Kings vs. Sixers:

76ers vs. Kings spread: 76ers -1
76ers vs. Kings over/under: 241 points
76ers vs. Kings money line: 76ers -113, Kings -107
Sacramento: The Kings are 11-6 against the spread in road games
Philadelphia: The 76ers are 13-6 against the spread in home games
76ers vs. Kings picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Kings can cover
Sacramento hits the road in this matchup, but the Kings are facing a 76ers team that is not functioning at its top level without Embiid. Philadelphia is 2-7 without the reigning MVP in the lineup this season, and the 76ers are giving up 123.2 points per 100 possessions during an active three-game losing streak. The 76ers also have defensive shortcomings that are magnified without Embiid, with Philadelphia landing well below the league average in free throw prevention (24.4 attempts allowed per game) and fast break points allowed (16.2 per game).

Sacramento is a top-five team in 2-point shooting (56.3%) and assists (28.9 per game), and Domantas Sabonis is a key linchpin for the Kings near the rim. Sabonis leads the NBA with 12.7 rebounds per game, generating double-digit rebounds in 20 consecutive games. He is the key to Sacramento’s league-leading defensive rebound rate (74.0%), and the Kings allow only 11.6 second-chance points per game. Sabonis is also a tremendous passer, averaging 7.7 assists per game, and he is shooting 60.4% from the field. See which team to pick here.

Why the 76ers can cover
The 76ers are comfortable at home, out-scoring opponents by 9.7 points per possessions at Wells Fargo Center. Philadelphia has a potent offense, scoring 119.5 points per 100 possessions to rank in the top five of the NBA. Tyrese Maxey is a key piece of that attack, averaging 26.2 points and 6.7 assists per game, and he is averaging 28.3 points and 7.2 assists per contest in the last six outings. That includes a 35-point, nine-assist effort in Philadelphia’s last game on Wednesday, and the 76ers are leading the NBA in free throw creation (27.1 attempts per game) and free throw accuracy (83.8%).

Philadelphia also takes care of the ball at a top-tier level, committing only 12.5 turnovers per game, and the 76ers are in the top three of the league with 17.2 fast break points per game. From there, Philadelphia is in the top ten of the NBA in points in the paint (52.6 per game), offensive rebound rate (30.0%), and second-chance points (15.6 per game), and the Kings are in the bottom five of the NBA in allowing 38.6% 3-point shooting to opponents on defense. See which team to pick here.

How to make Kings vs. 76ers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 232 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s picks at SportsLine.

So who wins 76ers vs. Kings, and which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 112-62 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *